Dr Lotfi Belkhir from McMaster University explains the extent to which smartphones and software are contributing to the climate crisis.
When we think about climate change, the main sources of carbon emissions that come to mind for most of us are heavy industries such as petroleum, mining and transportation. Rarely do we point the finger at computer technologies.
In fact, many experts view the cyber world of information and computer technologies (ICT) as our potential saviour, replacing many of our physical activities with a lower-carbon virtual alternative. That is not what our study, published last year in the Journal of Cleaner Production, suggests.
Having conducted a meticulous and fairly exhaustive inventory of the contribution of ICT (including devices such as PCs, laptops, monitors, smartphones and tablets) and infrastructure such as data centres and communication networks, we found that the relative contribution of ICT to the total global footprint is expected to grow from about 1pc in 2007 to 3.5pc by 2020, reaching 14pc by 2040. That’s more than half the relative contribution of the entire transportation sector worldwide.
‘The relative emissions share of smartphones is expected to grow from 4pc in 2010 to 11pc by 2020, dwarfing the individual contributions of PCs, laptops and computer displays’
Another disconcerting finding is that all this extraordinary growth is mostly incremental, essentially shattering the hope that ICT will help reduce the global carbon footprint by substituting physical activities with their virtual counterparts.
The impact of smartphones
Perhaps the most surprising result of our study was the disproportionate contribution of smartphones relative to the overall ICT footprint. We found that the relative emissions share of smartphones is expected to grow from 4pc in 2010 to 11pc by 2020, dwarfing the individual contributions of PCs, laptops and computer displays.
In absolute values, emissions caused by smartphones will jump from 17 to 125 megatonnes of CO2 equivalent (MtCO2e) per year in that time span, or a 730pc growth.
The lion’s share of this footprint (85pc to 95pc) will be caused not by the use of the device, but rather by its production. That includes, in addition to the manufacturing energy, the energy for material mining of gold and so-called rare-earth elements such as yttrium, lanthanum and several others that today are almost exclusively available only from China.
Another guilty participant in this excessive carbon footprint: the phone plans that encourage users to get a new smartphone every two years. That accelerates the rate at which older models become obsolete and leads to an extraordinary and unnecessary amount of waste.
Software eating the world’s energy
The above findings pertain to the device side. On the infrastructure side, we predict the combined footprint of data centres and communications networks will grow from 215 MtCO2e per year in 2007 to 764 MtCO2e per year by 2020, with data centres accounting for about two-thirds of the total contribution. For comparison purposes, the entire carbon footprint of Canada was about 730 MtCO2e in 2016 and is expected to decrease by 2020.
The growth in smartphones and data centres aren’t unrelated. Indeed, it’s the dizzying growth in mobile communications that’s largely driving the pace for data centres. For every text message, video download, photo exchange, email or chat, there’s a 24/7 power-hungry server in some data centre that’s making it happen. It’s the energy consumption that we don’t see.
‘For every text message, video download, photo exchange, email or chat, there’s a 24/7 power-hungry server in some data centre that’s making it happen’
Perhaps the most ironic aspect of all this is that it’s software that is driving the overall growth in ICT as a whole – devices and infrastructure included. Software companies such as Google, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft and Yahoo boast some of the largest data centres in the world.
The rise in dominance of the mobile operating systems – namely Apple’s iOS and Google’s Android – along with the millions of mobile applications that are built on top of those platforms, has spawned the mobile communication age.
The incredible – as well as unsustainable – growth in the emission footprint of all this hardware is there for only one purpose: to support and serve the software universe. In other words, while it’s the hardware that does all the dirty work, it’s the software that’s calling all the shots.
So what’s the way out? At the societal level, we must demand that all data centres run exclusively on renewable energy. At the individual level, hold on to your smartphone for as long as you can and, when you do upgrade, make sure you recycle your old one.
Dr Lotfi Belkhir is an associate professor and chair of eco-entrepreneurship at McMaster University. His teaching and research revolves around innovation, entrepreneurship and sustainability, and he strongly believes that entrepreneurs will be able, through innovation, to create superior sustainable products and services that will disrupt current unsustainable business models.